Prediction: $
The price of Ethereum experienced a significant surge on March 26, reaching $3,663. This marked a 20% increase from the monthly low recorded on March 19. Market data indicates that investors have adopted a more positive outlook in anticipation of the upcoming Bitcoin halving.
Last week, Ethereum came close to falling below $3,000 following the sell-off after the Dencun Upgrade. However, with the Bitcoin halving approaching, on-chain data reveals a notable shift in the sentiment of ETH investors.
As the countdown to the Bitcoin halving reached the 30-day mark on March 19, Ethereum investors began adopting a more conservative trading strategy. This change in momentum can be attributed to investors taking preemptive measures to mitigate potential impacts of the halving, scheduled for April 20.
The Cryptoquant exchange reserves metric, which tracks the number of coins deposited in crypto exchange wallets and trading platforms, shows a decline of 200,000 ETH since March 19. This suggests that traders are opting to hold their assets instead of selling, given the timeframe and market conditions.
The correlation between this shift and the 30-day Bitcoin halving countdown implies that the halving event could be a driving force behind the change in sentiment among Ethereum investors. Regardless of the catalyst, a decrease in exchange reserves often has a positive effect on the price of the underlying asset.
With the current prices, the transfer of over $740 million worth of ETH into long-term storage options or staking contracts in the past week has contributed to the upward pressure on prices. Consequently, the price of ETH has already increased by 20% since the outflows from exchanges began on March 19.
If more ETH investors continue to adopt a conservative approach, the recovery phase of Ethereum’s price could accelerate further in the coming days.
Drawing insights from the $730 million decline in ETH market supply, it is likely that the price of Ethereum will break out towards $4,000 ahead of the Bitcoin halving. The In/Out of the Money chart from IntoTheBlock supports this optimistic outlook. However, the IOMAP chart indicates that the majority of investors who bought ETH within the 20% price range are currently in profitable positions, suggesting that they may be hesitant to sell. This leaves room for a predicted rebound to $4,000.
In the event of a market downturn, the bulls are expected to defend the psychological support level of $3,500.
In other news, the SEC has decided to postpone its decision on the VanEck Ethereum ETF, while investors are exercising caution as Bitcoin and Ethereum options worth $2.6 billion are set to expire.
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